Understanding the Scenario Analysis
Scenario Analysis
Scenario Analysis is the core planning tool of the Intelligence Hub. It maps every portfolio item onto a 2×2 quadrant chart — plotting Feasibility against Business Impact — giving you an immediate visual read of where your portfolio stands and where it could go.
The Quadrant Chart
The chart has two axes:
- Y-axis — Feasibility (Low at the bottom, High at the top): the portfolio item's calculated feasibility index (0–10), derived from its driver scores.
- X-axis — Impact (Low at the left, High at the right): for Monetary items this is the calculated net value; for Non-Monetary items this is the Strategic Value score (1–10).
Every portfolio item appears as a labelled bubble. Data Products and AI items are distinguished by their respective icons.
The Four Quadrants
| Quadrant | Name | What it means |
|---|---|---|
| Top-right | Low Hanging Fruits | High Feasibility, High Impact — ready to deliver value now |
| Top-left | Playgrounds | High Feasibility, Low Impact — easy to build, but limited return |
| Bottom-right | Challengers | Low Feasibility, High Impact — high potential but hard to execute |
| Bottom-left | Underworld | Low Feasibility, Low Impact — deprioritise |
The goal is to move items towards the Low Hanging Fruits quadrant — either by improving feasibility through initiatives, or by increasing the value case.
The Info Panel
A panel to the right of the chart provides context-sensitive information:
Default state — shows the total net value of all Monetary items currently in the Low Hanging Fruits quadrant, labelled "Value that can be created immediately".
Hover over a quadrant — the panel updates to show the total value of all Monetary items in that quadrant.
Hover over a bubble — the panel shows metrics for that specific item: - Monetary items: Net Value (36 months), Total Value, Total Cost, ROI, Break-even month - Non-Monetary items: Strategic Value score and Feasibility Score
Filtering
A Filters tab in the sidebar lets you narrow which items appear on the chart. All filters apply instantly — there is no Apply button.
| Filter | Options |
|---|---|
| Product Type | All / Monetary / Non-Monetary |
| Status | Idea / In Development / Running (chip multi-select) |
| Domain | Your organisation's domains (chip multi-select) |
| Confidence | Low / Medium / High (chip multi-select) |
| Cost Level | Very Low / Low / Medium / High / Very High (chip multi-select) |
| Feasibility Index | Min and Max numeric inputs (0–10) |
Items excluded by a filter are hidden from the chart. Click × Clear all filters to reset everything at once.
Simulating Initiatives
The most powerful feature of Scenario Analysis is the ability to model the effect of one or more initiatives before any work has started.
Selecting Initiatives
Open the Initiatives tab in the sidebar. A list of all your strategic initiatives is shown. Toggle any initiative on by clicking it — selected initiatives are highlighted.
What Happens on the Chart
When initiatives are selected, the system recalculates feasibility scores for all portfolio items based on the driver impacts those initiatives declare.
Items that would move as a result animate to their new positions: 1. The bubble flashes (green if moving up, red if moving down) 2. The bubble slides to its new position 3. A curved arrow appears showing the movement from origin to destination 4. After 5 seconds, the arrow fades out
The origin dot remains visible while the arrow is shown, so you can see exactly how far each item moved.
Impact Summary
While initiatives are selected, the Info Panel switches from value analysis to an impact summary:
- Avg Feasibility Change — the average shift in feasibility index across affected items
- Products Improved — count of items whose feasibility score increased
- Cost Savings — aggregate cost reduction across monetary items
- Quadrant Changes — a list of items that crossed a quadrant boundary (up to 3 shown, with a "+N more" indicator if there are additional changes)
Resetting
Deselect all initiatives to return every bubble to its original position and restore the Value Analysis panel.